Unmanned Warfare and the Implications of Militarily Relevant COTS Technologies

  • Published
  • By Chief of Staff of the Army & HAF A5SM
  • HAF/A5SM Strategic Assessments

The media and trade shows are dominated by the latest unmanned and autonomous technologies. Does the rise in this potential shift to unmanned warfare across the land, air, and sea domains represent a revolution in military affairs? Why or why not? The world may be in the opening stages of another revolution in military affairs, spawned in large part by the ongoing information technology revolution. As with other technology revolutions, those militaries who take the initiative now to accelerate and exploit it could enjoy a military advantage over competitors who fail to keep pace.

If this shift to unmanned and autonomous warfare does represent the next revolution, the ability of the DoW to forestall exploitation of it by potential adversaries has to be well understood. This is particularly critical given the dual-use nature of these current and emerging commercial-off-the-shelf (COTS) technologies and the massive challenges regarding technology control, protection, and diffusion to prospective adversaries.