TOPIC SPONSOR: 50 OSS
What potential uses of the latest space technologies can serve as deterrence?
- Adams, Lt. Col. Jason M., "Deterrence and Norms of Behavior in Space," AWC West Space Seminar, 2023, 26 pgs.
- Adewunmi, Maj. Adekunbi H., "Evolving Deterrence: Preventing Destruction in Outer Space," AFGC thesis, 2025, 48 pgs.
- Adewunmi explains that the integration of modern commercial space technologies, particularly proliferated satellite constellations, serves as a powerful form of deterrence by denial. By leveraging networks of hundreds of commercial satellites to supplement military architectures, the U.S. can achieve a level of redundancy and resilience that makes it nearly impossible for adversaries like the PRC or Russia to successfully degrade U.S. capabilities through a targeted attack, fundamentally removing the incentive for them to initiate hostilities in the space domain.
- Baumeister, Maj. D. Harry, "Failure to Launch: Gray Zone Conflict in Space," AFGC thesis, 2026, 50 pgs.
- He asserts that against gray zone aggression, "deterrence by punishment" (like sanctions) often fails because adversaries intentionally avoid red lines; instead, the USSF must rely on "deterrence by denial". Technologically, he highlights proliferated low Earth orbit (pLEO) constellations—networks of hundreds or thousands of satellites—as a prime deterrent mechanism. This technology denies adversaries a tactical advantage because jamming or destroying individual satellites becomes meaningless when there are countless others to immediately replace their functionality.
- Goodman, Maj. Brian, "Offensive Dominance in Space," AF Fellows Paper (2024), subsequently published in Aether (Vol. 3, No. 1, Spring 2024): 66-80.
- Roche IV, Lt. Col. James Francis, "Laser Weapons and Space Deterrence," AWC PSP, 2020, 32 pgs. Prize Winner: Maj. Gen. Floyd L. Carpenter Award