The U.S. Air Force (USAF) conducted Resolute Force Pacific (REFORPAC) 2025 across the Indo-Pacific theater from July 8 to August 8, 2025. Beijing’s response to the exercise was muted, as it was to what had been the largest exercise in the region, Mobility Guardian 2023. Beijing’s response to REFORPAC similarly projected confidence. Chinese commentators writing in official media, however, argued that the USAF will fail to overcome the logistical difficulties of operating in such a vast theater and that overall U.S. strategy in the region will fail. Those arguments diverged in approach and validity, but neither offered conclusive proof of Beijing’s actual assessment of REFORPAC.
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