From Power Projection to Power Protection: Revitalizing Conventional Deterrence in NATO

Russia’s actions in Ukraine and Crimea ushered in a return to great power competition. The Eastern European NATO members, especially the Baltics, are at risk of territorial annexation by Russia. This thesis examines deterrence within the broader framework of strategic coercion and analyzes conventional deterrence before and after the Cold War to build a historical reference. A significant historical finding is a trend towards a decreased reliance on forward presence, in favor of power projection through expeditionary forces. A robust deterrent policy through diplomacy and military forces is critical to deter Russian aggression.